Cheap and healthy — worth a proper look.

The math shows a margin of safety, and nothing is obviously deteriorating.

Current price
$97.93
Market cap ≈ $32B
Intrinsic value
$120
range $82 – $178
Margin of safety
+22%
below fair value
2 FY16 -0 FY17 2 FY18 2 FY19 -6 FY20 -0 FY21 1 FY22 -0 FY23 4 FY24 3 FY25

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Good
    Undervalued
    Fair value ~$120 vs $98 — a margin of safety of 22%.
  • Good
    Price is in line with its record
    Priced for ~3%/yr, roughly what it has delivered (27.0%/yr).
  • Good
    Revenue still growing
    Up 3.5% last year — demand isn't the problem.
  • Good
    Cash flow compounding
    Free cash flow up ~27.0%/yr — the engine is growing.
  • Caution
    Manageable net debt
    Net debt of $9B — about 3.7× annual free cash flow. Normal for a mature company. It also has $6B of operating-lease commitments — about 2.4× annual free cash flow — which this figure does not count as debt.

Where this number comes from →

How this was built. Every figure is computed from United Airlines Holdings, Inc.'s SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. We subtract net debt from the value of the business — for United Airlines that is about $9B, or $28 per share. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $97.93 taken 2026-10-23 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-10-23) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →