A wonderful business — priced for growth it hasn't delivered.

A great company, but no margin of safety at this price. Worth watching, not worth buying here.

Current price
$443.51
Market cap ≈ $135B
Intrinsic value
$304
range $217 – $437
Margin of safety
-32%
above fair value
1 FY16 2 FY17 2 FY18 3 FY19 3 FY20 4 FY21 3 FY22 4 FY23 6 FY24 5 FY25

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Warning:
    Overvalued
    Fair value ~$304 vs $444 — trading 32% above what the math supports.
  • Good:
    Price is in line with its record
    Priced for ~10%/yr, roughly what it has delivered (29.5%/yr).
  • Good:
    Revenue still growing
    Up 7.9% last year — demand isn't the problem.
  • Good:
    Cash flow compounding
    Free cash flow up ~29.5%/yr — the engine is growing.
  • Caution:
    Manageable net debt
    Net debt of $11B — about 2.1× annual free cash flow. Normal for a mature company.

Where this number comes from →

How this was built. Every figure is computed from S&P Global Inc.'s SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. We subtract net debt from the value of the business — for S&P Global that is about $11B, or $37 per share. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $443.51 taken 2026-09-04 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-08-28) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →