A wonderful business — priced for growth it hasn't delivered.

A great company, but no margin of safety at this price. Worth watching, not worth buying here.

Current price
$955.87
Market cap ≈ $122B
Intrinsic value
$509
range $361 – $736
Margin of safety
-47%
above fair value
1 FY17 1 FY18 2 FY19 2 FY20 2 FY21 2 FY22 3 FY23 3 FY24 3 FY25 4 FY26

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Warning:
    Overvalued
    Fair value ~$509 vs $956 — trading 47% above what the math supports.
  • Good:
    Price is in line with its record
    Priced for ~13%/yr, roughly what it has delivered (14.5%/yr).
  • Good:
    Revenue still growing
    Up 8.3% last year — demand isn't the problem.
  • Good:
    Cash flow compounding
    Free cash flow up ~14.5%/yr — the engine is growing.
  • Caution:
    Manageable net debt
    Net debt of $9B — about 2.3× annual free cash flow. Normal for a mature company.

Where this number comes from →

How this was built. Every figure is computed from Parker-Hannifin Corporation's SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. We subtract net debt from the value of the business — for Parker-Hannifin that is about $9B, or $70 per share. Fundamentals are from the FY26 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $955.87 taken 2026-09-08 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-09-08) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →