Expensive and softening.

Trading above fair value while the fundamentals weaken — little to like right now.

Current price
$987.54
Market cap ≈ $129B
Intrinsic value
$421
range $296 – $612
Margin of safety
-57%
above fair value
1 FY16 1 FY17 1 FY18 2 FY19 2 FY20 2 FY21 2 FY22 3 FY23 3 FY24 3 FY25

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Warning:
    Overvalued
    Fair value ~$421 vs $988 — trading 57% above what the math supports.
  • Good:
    Price is in line with its record
    Priced for ~15%/yr, roughly what it has delivered (14.7%/yr).
  • Warning:
    Revenue shrinking
    Down 0.4% last year — cheap may mean broken.
  • Good:
    Cash flow compounding
    Free cash flow up ~14.7%/yr — the engine is growing.
  • Caution:
    Manageable net debt
    Net debt of $9B — about 2.6× annual free cash flow. Normal for a mature company.

How this was built. Every figure is computed from Parker-Hannifin Corporation's SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. We subtract net debt from the value of the business — for Parker-Hannifin that is about $9B, or $68 per share. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $987.54 taken 2026-07-24 (founder-supplied CSV, July 2026) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →