Expensive and softening.

Trading above fair value while the fundamentals weaken — little to like right now.

Current price
$477.57
Market cap ≈ $226B
Intrinsic value
$159
range $106 – $239
Margin of safety
-67%
above fair value
1 FY16 2 FY17 2 FY18 2 FY19 4 FY20 7 FY21 6 FY22 6 FY23 5 FY24 5 FY25

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Warning:
    Overvalued
    Fair value ~$159 vs $478 — trading 67% above what the math supports.
  • Warning:
    Price assumes a big acceleration
    You'd need ~17%/yr free-cash-flow growth to justify today's price; it has done -3.7%/yr lately.
  • Good:
    Revenue still growing
    Up 3.0% last year — demand isn't the problem.
  • Caution:
    Cash flow flat-to-down
    Free cash flow ~-3.7%/yr — big, but not compounding. The crux for a value buyer.
  • Warning:
    Heavy debt load
    Net debt of $22B — roughly 4× annual free cash flow. This changes the risk picture.

Where this number comes from →

How this was built. Every figure is computed from Linde plc's SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. We subtract net debt from the value of the business — for Linde that is about $22B, or $46 per share. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $477.57 taken 2026-09-04 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-08-28) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →