Cheap and healthy — worth a proper look.

The math shows a margin of safety, and nothing is obviously deteriorating.

Current price
$131.58
Market cap ≈ $17B
Intrinsic value
$211
range $150 – $305
Margin of safety
+61%
below fair value
0 FY16 0 FY17 1 FY18 1 FY19 1 FY20 1 FY21 1 FY22 1 FY23 1 FY24 2 FY25

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Good:
    Undervalued
    Fair value ~$211 vs $132 — a margin of safety of 61%.
  • Good:
    Price is in line with its record
    Priced for ~-0%/yr, roughly what it has delivered (23.5%/yr).
  • Good:
    Revenue still growing
    Up 3.1% last year — demand isn't the problem.
  • Good:
    Cash flow compounding
    Free cash flow up ~23.5%/yr — the engine is growing.
  • Caution:
    Manageable net debt
    Net debt of $4B — about 2.2× annual free cash flow. Normal for a mature company.

Where this number comes from →

How this was built. Every figure is computed from Leidos Holdings, Inc.'s SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. We subtract net debt from the value of the business — for Leidos that is about $4B, or $27 per share. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $131.58 taken 2026-09-08 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-09-11) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →