A wonderful business — priced for growth it hasn't delivered.

A great company, but no margin of safety at this price. Worth watching, not worth buying here.

Current price
$333.42
Market cap ≈ $58B
Intrinsic value
$137
range $101 – $192
Margin of safety
-59%
above fair value
0 FY16 0 FY17 0 FY18 1 FY19 1 FY20 1 FY21 1 FY22 1 FY23 1 FY24 1 FY25

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Warning:
    Overvalued
    Fair value ~$137 vs $333 — trading 59% above what the math supports.
  • Warning:
    Price assumes a big acceleration
    You'd need ~17%/yr free-cash-flow growth to justify today's price; it has done 10.1%/yr lately.
  • Good:
    Revenue still growing
    Up 8.0% last year — demand isn't the problem.
  • Good:
    Cash flow compounding
    Free cash flow up ~10.1%/yr — the engine is growing.
  • Caution:
    Manageable net debt
    Net debt of $1B — about 0.5× annual free cash flow. Normal for a mature company.

Where this number comes from →

How this was built. Every figure is computed from Keysight Technologies, Inc.'s SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $333.42 taken 2026-09-08 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-09-08) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →