Expensive and softening.

Trading above fair value while the fundamentals weaken — little to like right now.

Current price
$259.21
Market cap ≈ $45B
Intrinsic value
$145
range $88 – $233
Margin of safety
-44%
above fair value
1 FY16 1 FY17 1 FY18 1 FY19 1 FY20 2 FY21 2 FY22 2 FY23 2 FY24 2 FY25

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Warning:
    Overvalued
    Fair value ~$145 vs $259 — trading 44% above what the math supports.
  • Caution:
    Price assumes a modest step-up
    Priced for ~10%/yr vs a 8.9%/yr record — a stretch, not heroic.
  • Good:
    Revenue still growing
    Up 5.9% last year — demand isn't the problem.
  • Good:
    Cash flow compounding
    Free cash flow up ~8.9%/yr — the engine is growing.
  • Warning:
    Heavy debt load
    Net debt of $14B — roughly 7× annual free cash flow. This changes the risk picture.

Where this number comes from →

How this was built. Every figure is computed from IQVIA Holdings Inc.'s SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. We subtract net debt from the value of the business — for IQVIA that is about $14B, or $80 per share. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $259.21 taken 2026-09-08 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-09-08) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →