Expensive and softening.

Trading above fair value while the fundamentals weaken — little to like right now.

Current price
$146.65
Market cap ≈ $128B
Intrinsic value
$23
range $15 – $35
Margin of safety
-84%
above fair value
1 FY18 0 FY19 1 FY20 2 FY21 1 FY22 1 FY23 1 FY24 1 FY25

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Warning:
    Overvalued
    Fair value ~$23 vs $147 — trading 84% above what the math supports.
  • Warning:
    Price assumes a big acceleration
    You'd need ~27%/yr free-cash-flow growth to justify today's price; it has done 11.8%/yr lately.
  • Good:
    Revenue still growing
    Up 19.1% last year — demand isn't the problem.
  • Good:
    Cash flow compounding
    Free cash flow up ~11.8%/yr — the engine is growing.
  • Warning:
    Heavy debt load
    Net debt of $7B — roughly 5× annual free cash flow. This changes the risk picture.

How this was built. Every figure is computed from Corning Incorporated's SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. We subtract net debt from the value of the business — for Corning that is about $7B, or $8 per share. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $146.65 taken 2026-07-24 (founder-supplied CSV, July 2026) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →