A wonderful business — priced for growth it hasn't delivered.

A great company, but no margin of safety at this price. Worth watching, not worth buying here.

Current price
$156.19
Market cap ≈ $196B
Intrinsic value
$132
range $95 – $188
Margin of safety
-15%
above fair value
16 FY16 11 FY17 7 FY18 8 FY19 8 FY20 11 FY21 8 FY22 7 FY23 10 FY24 9 FY25

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Warning
    Overvalued
    Fair value ~$132 vs $156 — trading 15% above what the math supports.
  • Caution
    Price assumes a modest step-up
    Priced for ~7%/yr vs a 4.3%/yr record — a stretch, not heroic.
  • Good
    Revenue still growing
    Up 2.4% last year — demand isn't the problem.
  • Good
    Cash flow compounding
    Free cash flow up ~4.3%/yr — the engine is growing.
  • Caution
    Manageable net debt
    Net debt of $14B — about 1.5× annual free cash flow. Normal for a mature company.

Where this number comes from →

How this was built. Every figure is computed from Gilead Sciences, Inc.'s SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $156.19 taken 2026-10-17 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-10-17) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →