A wonderful business — priced for growth it hasn't delivered.

A great company, but no margin of safety at this price. Worth watching, not worth buying here.

Current price
$359.39
Market cap ≈ $98B
Intrinsic value
$255
range $185 – $364
Margin of safety
-29%
above fair value
2 FY16 3 FY17 2 FY18 2 FY19 3 FY20 3 FY21 3 FY22 4 FY23 3 FY24 4 FY25

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Warning:
    Overvalued
    Fair value ~$255 vs $359 — trading 29% above what the math supports.
  • Caution:
    Price assumes a modest step-up
    Priced for ~9%/yr vs a 4.5%/yr record — a stretch, not heroic.
  • Good:
    Revenue still growing
    Up 10.1% last year — demand isn't the problem.
  • Good:
    Cash flow compounding
    Free cash flow up ~4.5%/yr — the engine is growing.
  • Caution:
    Manageable net debt
    Net debt of $6B — about 1.5× annual free cash flow. Normal for a mature company.

Where this number comes from →

How this was built. Every figure is computed from General Dynamics Corporation's SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $359.39 taken 2026-09-04 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-08-28) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →