A wonderful business — priced for growth it hasn't delivered.

A great company, but no margin of safety at this price. Worth watching, not worth buying here.

Current price
$207.66
Market cap ≈ $149B
Intrinsic value
$121
range $85 – $175
Margin of safety
-42%
above fair value
3 FY16 3 FY17 3 FY18 3 FY19 5 FY20 7 FY21 7 FY22 6 FY23 5 FY24 5 FY25

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Warning:
    Overvalued
    Fair value ~$121 vs $208 — trading 42% above what the math supports.
  • Warning:
    Price assumes a big acceleration
    You'd need ~11%/yr free-cash-flow growth to justify today's price; it has done -10.8%/yr lately.
  • Good:
    Revenue still growing
    Up 2.9% last year — demand isn't the problem.
  • Caution:
    Cash flow flat-to-down
    Free cash flow ~-10.8%/yr — big, but not compounding. The crux for a value buyer.
  • Caution:
    Manageable net debt
    Net debt of $14B — about 2.6× annual free cash flow. Normal for a mature company.

Where this number comes from →

How this was built. Every figure is computed from Danaher Corporation's SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. We subtract net debt from the value of the business — for Danaher that is about $14B, or $19 per share. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $207.66 taken 2026-09-04 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-08-28) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →