Want to find your lens? Five questions, no jargon — they tell you which of four reads fits how you already think.
Cheap — but check the trap first.
It looks undervalued, but something is deteriorating. Cheap for a reason, or a real bargain?
Price against fair value
Free cash flow — 10-year history ($B)
What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.
The read — lights & verdict
- Good:UndervaluedFair value ~$211 vs $140 — a margin of safety of 51%.
- Good:Price is in line with its recordPriced for ~-1%/yr, roughly what it has delivered (99.5%/yr) — from a depressed FY22 base.
- Warning:Revenue shrinkingDown 6.9% last year — cheap may mean broken.
- Good:Cash flow compoundingFree cash flow up ~99.5%/yr — the engine is growing.
- Good:Fortress balance sheetNet cash positive (+$3B) — little solvency risk.
How this was built. Every figure is computed from D.R. Horton, Inc.'s SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $139.99 taken 2026-09-08 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-09-11) — it is not live and does not move during the day.
TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →