Want to find your lens? Five questions, no jargon — they tell you which of four reads fits how you already think.
A wonderful business — priced for growth it hasn't delivered.
A great company, but no margin of safety at this price. Worth watching, not worth buying here.
Price against fair value
Free cash flow — 9-year history ($B)
What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.
The read — lights & verdict
- Warning:OvervaluedFair value ~$28 vs $210 — trading 87% above what the math supports.
- Warning:Price assumes a big accelerationYou'd need ~34%/yr free-cash-flow growth to justify today's price; it has done 22.9%/yr lately.
- Good:Revenue still growingUp 21.7% last year — demand isn't the problem.
- Good:Cash flow compoundingFree cash flow up ~22.9%/yr — the engine is growing.
- Good:Fortress balance sheetNet cash positive (+$5B) — little solvency risk.
How this was built. Every figure is computed from CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.'s SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. Fundamentals are from the FY26 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. There was a stock split after the last annual report, so the share count is the diluted figure filed in the 10-Q to 2026-07-31 rather than the annual average, which is on a basis that no longer exists. Price of $210.02 taken 2026-09-08 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-09-08) — it is not live and does not move during the day.
TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →