Cheap — but check the trap first.

It looks undervalued, but something is deteriorating. Cheap for a reason, or a real bargain?

Current price
$22.30
Market cap ≈ $83B
Intrinsic value
$59
range $38 – $92
Margin of safety
+166%
below fair value
11 FY16 12 FY17 15 FY18 16 FY19 16 FY20 20 FY21 16 FY22 16 FY23 15 FY24 22 FY25

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Good:
    Undervalued
    Fair value ~$59 vs $22 — a margin of safety of 166%.
  • Good:
    Price is in line with its record
    Priced for ~-3%/yr, roughly what it has delivered (11.5%/yr).
  • Warning:
    Revenue shrinking
    Down 0.0% last year — cheap may mean broken.
  • Good:
    Cash flow compounding
    Free cash flow up ~11.5%/yr — the engine is growing.
  • Warning:
    Heavy debt load
    Net debt of $89B — roughly 6× annual free cash flow. This changes the risk picture.

How this was built. Every figure is computed from Comcast Corporation's SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Fair value is based on typical free cash flow over the last five years ($16.3B), not the latest year ($21.9B), which sat 35% above the company's own norm. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. We subtract net debt from the value of the business — for Comcast that is about $89B, or $24 per share. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $22.30 taken 2026-07-24 (founder-supplied CSV, July 2026) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →