Cheap and healthy — worth a proper look.

The math shows a margin of safety, and nothing is obviously deteriorating.

Current price
$31.06
Market cap ≈ $16B
Intrinsic value
$36
range $27 – $49
Margin of safety
+15%
below fair value
2 FY16 1 FY17 2 FY18 0 FY19 1 FY20 1 FY21 2 FY22 1 FY23 1 FY24 1 FY25

What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.

  • Good
    Undervalued
    Fair value ~$36 vs $31 — a margin of safety of 15%.
  • Warning
    Price assumes a big acceleration
    You'd need ~3%/yr free-cash-flow growth to justify today's price; it has done -21.2%/yr lately.
  • Good
    Revenue still growing
    Up 3.5% last year — demand isn't the problem.
  • Caution
    Cash flow flat-to-down
    Free cash flow ~-21.2%/yr — big, but not compounding. The crux for a value buyer.
  • Good
    Fortress balance sheet
    Net cash positive (+$1B) — little solvency risk. It also has $1B of operating-lease commitments — about 1.1× annual free cash flow — which this figure does not count as debt.

Where this number comes from →

How this was built. Every figure is computed from Franklin Resources, Inc.'s SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. Fundamentals are from the FY25 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $31.06 taken 2026-10-23 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-10-23) — it is not live and does not move during the day.

TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →