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This price needs ~13%/yr of free-cash-flow growth.
Every fair-value number — ours included — starts from a guess about the future. This one runs the other direction: it takes today's price as fixed and works out what free-cash-flow growth rate would have to be true for that price to make sense. We're not forecasting it. We're reading it off the price that's already there.
Implied vs. delivered
That's close to what the company actually delivered over the last three years (11.5%/yr) — the price is asking for a continuation, not an acceleration.
How this is computed. Two-stage DCF, solved backwards: 9% discount rate, 2.5% terminal growth, holding fair value equal to today's price and solving for the stage-1 free-cash-flow growth rate that makes the arithmetic balance. Price of $222.37 taken 2026-09-08 (Google Finance, manual entry, 2026-09-08) — not live, does not move during the day.
TickerMath is an educational tool, not investment advice — it computes one model from SEC filings and can be wrong. How we compute this →