Fairly priced — no edge either way.
Close to fair value. Not a bargain, not a rip-off. Come back if the price moves.
Price against fair value
Free cash flow — 5-year history ($B)
What the math is really telling you. Watch whether cash flow is compounding — that, more than any single year, is what a value read hangs on.
The read — lights & verdict
- Roughly fairFair value ~$191 sits close to the $208 price — no real margin of safety either way.
- Price assumes a modest step-upPriced for ~6%/yr vs a 4.2%/yr record — a stretch, not heroic.
- Revenue still growingUp 3.1% last year — demand isn't the problem.
- Cash flow compoundingFree cash flow up ~4.2%/yr — the engine is growing.
- Heavy debt loadNet debt of $39B — roughly 5× annual free cash flow. This changes the risk picture.
How this was built. Every figure is computed from Lowe's Companies, Inc.'s SEC filings — no estimates, no AI. Two-stage DCF: 9% discount rate, 5% free-cash-flow growth for 10 years, 2.5% terminal. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital spending. Net cash is cash and marketable securities less borrowings, commercial paper and finance leases; operating leases are disclosed but never counted as debt. Fundamentals are from the FY26 annual report and change only when a new one is filed. Price of $207.64 taken 2026-07-24 (founder-supplied CSV, July 2026) — it is not live and does not move during the day.